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Red106
112613.4
178734.1
34028.0
Blue52
318117.3
63921.5
140517.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71492040608010010652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.14.3
31.435.6
Auto7.4
Teleop14.5
End12.2
red by 12.6
639
#3
21.50.4
16.116.5
Auto9.0
Teleop8.1
End4.3
Second
340
#4
28.04.3
22.927.1
Auto8.9
Teleop11.1
End8.0
red by 10.5
1405
#20
17.50.4
13.313.7
Auto7.3
Teleop8.2
End2.0
Third
1126
#33
13.44.3
9.513.7
Auto5.0
Teleop3.7
End4.8
blue by 3.9
3181
#15
17.30.4
19.319.7
Auto3.8
Teleop6.9
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
48%Cargo oddsEarned48%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
51%Hangar oddsEarned40%Hangar oddsMissed