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Red48
395111.1
151812.6
222820.3
Blue36
155917.6
159116.5
15856.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54422060801004836

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2228
#13
20.30.2
21.121.0
Auto7.5
Teleop8.0
End4.8
red by 2.7
1559
#30
17.61.5
18.016.5
Auto5.2
Teleop5.0
End7.5
Second
1518
#17
12.60.2
16.516.3
Auto3.4
Teleop3.6
End5.6
blue by 3.9
1591
#11
16.51.5
18.016.6
Auto5.3
Teleop8.9
End2.3
Third
3951
#28
11.10.2
11.811.7
Auto4.0
Teleop3.2
End3.8
red by 5.1
1585
#37
6.01.5
5.23.7
Auto3.1
Teleop2.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
32%Cargo oddsMissed31%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
67%Hangar oddsEarned38%Hangar oddsMissed