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Red22
15518.9
332422.1
19112.5
Blue32
300320.3
5789.3
318117.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64462040801002232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3324
#10
22.14.0
22.818.8
Auto7.3
Teleop8.1
End6.7
red by 1.8
3003
#19
20.31.5
15.113.6
Auto5.4
Teleop7.3
End7.7
Second
191
#25
12.54.0
21.217.3
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End2.5
blue by 4.8
3181
#15
17.31.5
19.718.2
Auto3.8
Teleop6.9
End6.7
Third
8.94.0
13.59.6
Auto3.8
Teleop0.8
End4.3
blue by 0.3
578
#36
9.31.5
10.69.1
Auto3.4
Teleop5.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
31%Cargo oddsMissed25%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
78%Hangar oddsMissed35%Hangar oddsMissed