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Red58
642113.7
222820.3
300320.3
Blue59
332422.1
263819.0
69428.8
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5071204060801005859

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2228
#13
20.30.8
20.120.9
Auto7.5
Teleop8.0
End4.8
blue by 8.4
694
#2
28.80.5
29.529.0
Auto9.9
Teleop12.4
End6.4
Second
3003
#19
20.30.8
14.315.1
Auto5.4
Teleop7.3
End7.7
blue by 1.8
3324
#10
22.10.5
19.318.8
Auto7.3
Teleop8.1
End6.7
Third
6421
#23
13.70.8
15.416.2
Auto6.7
Teleop4.6
End2.4
blue by 5.3
19.00.5
15.515.0
Auto3.9
Teleop9.8
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
27%Cargo oddsMissed66%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
55%Hangar oddsMissed68%Hangar oddsEarned