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Red84
159116.5
87029.8
63921.5
Blue53
23408.5
493015.5
301525.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63553040507080901008453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#7
29.82.5
24.627.1
Auto5.8
Teleop17.9
End6.0
red by 3.9
25.90.7
26.926.1
Auto7.7
Teleop10.4
End7.8
Second
639
#3
21.52.5
17.319.8
Auto9.0
Teleop8.1
End4.3
red by 5.9
4930
#26
15.50.8
17.116.3
Auto4.4
Teleop8.4
End2.7
Third
1591
#11
16.52.5
15.918.4
Auto5.3
Teleop8.9
End2.3
red by 8.0
2340
#34
8.50.7
8.77.9
Auto2.6
Teleop1.0
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
72%Cargo oddsEarned55%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsEarned55%Hangar oddsMissed