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Red68
140517.5
383816.8
332422.1
Blue52
112613.4
155917.6
217213.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52472030406070806852

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3324
#10
22.11.8
18.820.5
Auto7.3
Teleop8.1
End6.7
red by 4.4
1559
#30
17.60.7
16.016.7
Auto5.2
Teleop5.0
End7.5
Second
1405
#20
17.51.8
13.915.7
Auto7.3
Teleop8.2
End2.0
red by 4.0
1126
#33
13.40.7
13.213.9
Auto5.0
Teleop3.7
End4.8
Third
3838
#31
16.81.8
15.617.3
Auto6.1
Teleop4.8
End5.9
red by 3.5
2172
#21
13.30.7
15.315.9
Auto4.7
Teleop0.4
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
47%Hangar oddsEarned55%Hangar oddsEarned