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Red64
34028.0
159116.5
151812.6
Blue59
4818.0
150722.9
493015.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625740507080906459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#4
28.00.5
28.829.3
Auto8.9
Teleop11.1
End8.0
red by 5.1
1507
#18
22.90.1
20.220.2
Auto8.2
Teleop9.2
End5.5
Second
1591
#11
16.50.5
16.717.3
Auto5.3
Teleop8.9
End2.3
blue by 1.5
48
#22
18.00.1
17.417.4
Auto6.1
Teleop8.5
End3.4
Third
1518
#17
12.60.5
11.912.4
Auto3.4
Teleop3.6
End5.6
blue by 3.0
4930
#26
15.50.1
16.516.6
Auto4.4
Teleop8.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
71%Cargo oddsEarned66%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
56%Hangar oddsEarned16%Hangar oddsMissed