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Red85
332422.1
318117.3
87029.8
Blue50
319316.9
140517.5
790314.4
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7347204060801001208550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#7
29.81.6
27.629.2
Auto5.8
Teleop17.9
End6.0
red by 12.3
1405
#20
17.50.1
15.715.5
Auto7.3
Teleop8.2
End2.0
Second
3324
#10
22.11.6
20.522.1
Auto7.3
Teleop8.1
End6.7
red by 5.2
3193
#14
16.90.1
17.517.4
Auto5.2
Teleop3.8
End8.0
Third
3181
#15
17.31.6
17.218.8
Auto3.8
Teleop6.9
End6.7
red by 2.9
7903
#27
14.40.1
14.214.1
Auto5.1
Teleop3.5
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
41%Cargo oddsEarned19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
70%Hangar oddsEarned60%Hangar oddsMissed