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Red63
317324.3
540646.1
57815.2
Blue64
318117.3
300327.6
99969.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96620501502006364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.10.0
46.146.1
Auto13.7
Teleop22.2
End10.2
red by 18.5
3003
#13
27.60.0
27.627.6
Auto6.0
Teleop10.6
End11.0
Second
3173
#14
24.30.0
24.324.3
Auto5.5
Teleop8.5
End10.3
red by 6.9
3181
#23
17.30.0
17.317.3
Auto3.8
Teleop6.9
End6.7
Third
578
#22
15.20.0
15.215.2
Auto3.7
Teleop6.9
End4.6
red by 5.8
9996
#16
9.40.0
9.49.4
Auto2.9
Teleop4.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
64%Cargo odds25%Cargo odds
Hangar
85%Hangar odds53%Hangar odds