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Red55
99969.4
493019.7
446723.1
Blue59
765912.0
403944.6
630011.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions637301001502002503003505559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.10.0
23.123.1
Auto6.0
Teleop11.1
End6.0
blue by 21.5
44.60.0
44.644.6
Auto9.5
Teleop26.1
End8.9
Second
4930
#31
19.70.0
19.719.7
Auto4.3
Teleop9.3
End6.0
red by 7.7
12.00.0
12.012.0
Auto3.7
Teleop7.3
End1.0
Third
9996
#16
9.40.0
9.49.4
Auto2.9
Teleop4.2
End2.4
blue by 1.6
6300
#15
11.00.0
11.011.0
Auto4.3
Teleop5.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
41%Cargo odds76%Cargo odds
Hangar
28%Hangar odds24%Hangar odds