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Red83
140524.6
301543.2
279130.4
Blue79
540646.1
63921.5
395111.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108800501502002508379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.20.0
43.243.2
Auto10.3
Teleop20.0
End12.8
blue by 2.9
46.10.0
46.146.1
Auto13.7
Teleop22.2
End10.2
Second
30.40.0
30.430.4
Auto8.1
Teleop16.9
End5.4
red by 9.0
639
#27
21.50.0
21.521.5
Auto9.0
Teleop8.1
End4.3
Third
1405
#10
24.60.0
24.624.6
Auto7.5
Teleop11.9
End5.1
red by 13.4
3951
#18
11.10.0
11.111.1
Auto4.0
Teleop3.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
94%Cargo odds57%Cargo odds
Hangar
77%Hangar odds72%Hangar odds