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Red78
383816.8
4835.2
34041.0
Blue62
395111.1
23408.5
403944.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105630501507862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#25
41.00.0
41.041.0
Auto9.9
Teleop21.5
End9.6
blue by 3.5
44.60.0
44.644.6
Auto9.5
Teleop26.1
End8.9
Second
48
#12
35.20.0
35.235.2
Auto11.1
Teleop15.7
End8.4
red by 24.0
3951
#18
11.10.0
11.111.1
Auto4.0
Teleop3.2
End3.8
Third
3838
#26
16.80.0
16.816.8
Auto6.1
Teleop4.8
End5.9
red by 8.3
2340
#33
8.50.0
8.58.5
Auto2.6
Teleop1.0
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
79%Cargo odds56%Cargo odds
Hangar
86%Hangar odds70%Hangar odds