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Red101
403944.6
301543.2
630011.0
Blue74
34041.0
124145.3
159116.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108107809010012013010174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.60.0
44.644.6
Auto9.5
Teleop26.1
End8.9
blue by 0.7
45.30.0
45.345.3
Auto14.6
Teleop27.0
End3.6
Second
43.20.0
43.243.2
Auto10.3
Teleop20.0
End12.8
red by 2.1
340
#25
41.00.0
41.041.0
Auto9.9
Teleop21.5
End9.6
Third
6300
#15
11.00.0
11.011.0
Auto4.3
Teleop5.1
End1.6
blue by 5.5
1591
#30
16.50.0
16.516.5
Auto5.3
Teleop8.9
End2.3