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Red80
301533.9
149332.8
58816.4
Blue47
260719.2
304413.4
412210.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87402060801001201408047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.90.1
34.534.5
Auto11.8
Teleop13.1
End9.0
red by 14.7
2607
#16
19.20.1
19.319.2
Auto4.7
Teleop9.2
End5.3
Second
32.80.1
33.533.5
Auto10.0
Teleop16.0
End6.7
red by 19.4
3044
#14
13.40.1
13.513.4
Auto3.8
Teleop4.2
End5.4
Third
5881
#18
6.40.1
7.37.2
Auto2.6
Teleop1.0
End2.9
blue by 3.8
4122
#24
10.30.1
10.410.3
Auto3.9
Teleop3.1
End3.3