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Red54
167623.2
223416.9
81015.0
Blue41
26319.5
682315.3
63006.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6242020801005441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.1
23.323.2
Auto5.8
Teleop13.0
End4.5
red by 3.7
263
#12
19.50.0
19.719.7
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End9.7
Second
16.90.1
17.016.9
Auto2.7
Teleop3.1
End11.2
red by 1.6
15.30.0
15.515.5
Auto5.4
Teleop6.7
End3.2
Third
810
#29
15.00.1
15.114.9
Auto4.5
Teleop4.9
End5.5
red by 8.4
6300
#37
6.60.0
6.86.8
Auto2.5
Teleop2.5
End1.6