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Red83
26319.5
149332.8
186018.1
Blue45
304413.4
70916.9
167623.2
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384602060801008345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1493
#1Sur
32.85.2
17.422.6
Auto10.0
Teleop16.0
End6.7
red by 9.5
23.20.2
22.522.7
Auto5.8
Teleop13.0
End4.5
Second
263
#12
19.55.2
11.416.6
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End9.7
red by 2.6
709
#9Sur
16.90.2
8.78.9
Auto4.5
Teleop2.0
End10.4
Third
1860
#25
18.15.2
7.512.7
Auto5.7
Teleop9.1
End3.3
red by 4.7
3044
#14
13.40.3
10.811.1
Auto3.8
Teleop4.2
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
29%Cargo oddsEarned35%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsEarned44%Hangar oddsEarned