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Red28
58816.4
28719.2
279125.6
Blue54
548428.0
209515.7
682315.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34520204060801002854

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2791
#13
25.60.7
14.113.4
Auto7.6
Teleop13.8
End4.2
blue by 2.4
28.00.5
19.620.1
Auto4.9
Teleop11.5
End11.6
Second
287
#11
19.20.7
11.410.7
Auto4.3
Teleop4.6
End10.3
red by 3.5
2095
#23
15.70.5
16.316.8
Auto5.3
Teleop4.5
End5.9
Third
5881
#18
6.40.7
8.88.1
Auto2.6
Teleop1.0
End2.9
blue by 8.9
15.30.8
10.511.3
Auto5.4
Teleop6.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed37%Hangar oddsMissed