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Red65
35811.1
289.1
261426.0
Blue55
70916.9
167623.2
395011.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384702060801006555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.02.7
18.521.2
Auto6.7
Teleop14.1
End5.2
red by 2.7
23.20.8
22.523.3
Auto5.8
Teleop13.0
End4.5
Second
358
#22
11.12.7
8.110.8
Auto3.5
Teleop5.5
End2.1
blue by 5.8
709
#9
16.90.8
9.510.3
Auto4.5
Teleop2.0
End10.4
Third
28
#21
9.12.7
10.513.1
Auto2.4
Teleop4.9
End1.8
blue by 2.5
3950
#27
11.61.3
11.112.4
Auto4.2
Teleop3.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsEarned54%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsEarned49%Hangar oddsEarned