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Red78
28719.2
149332.8
51496.5
Blue76
301533.9
703013.2
289.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435520801007876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.83.1
25.228.3
Auto10.0
Teleop16.0
End6.7
blue by 1.1
33.91.2
30.331.4
Auto11.8
Teleop13.1
End9.0
Second
287
#11
19.23.1
10.513.7
Auto4.3
Teleop4.6
End10.3
red by 6.0
7030
#31
13.22.0
10.212.2
Auto5.2
Teleop5.8
End2.3
Third
5149
#41
6.53.1
6.29.3
Auto0.5
Teleop5.2
End0.8
blue by 2.6
28
#21
9.11.8
9.911.8
Auto2.4
Teleop4.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
30%Cargo oddsEarned68%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsEarned20%Hangar oddsMissed