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Red20
8065.5
2295.6
640112.0
Blue59
149332.8
445814.5
412210.3
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions205404060801002059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6401
#33
12.00.3
13.012.7
Auto4.6
Teleop7.1
End0.3
blue by 20.8
32.81.3
28.329.6
Auto10.0
Teleop16.0
End6.7
Second
229
#40
5.60.3
5.24.9
Auto3.8
Teleop1.3
End0.5
blue by 8.9
4458
#19
14.51.3
10.211.6
Auto3.6
Teleop5.3
End5.5
Third
806
#32
5.50.3
4.64.3
Auto1.8
Teleop1.6
End2.1
blue by 4.7
4122
#24
10.31.3
7.58.9
Auto3.9
Teleop3.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed31%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsMissed40%Hangar oddsMissed