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Red60
223416.9
640215.9
33317.3
Blue29
501611.0
35811.1
703013.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48310204060806029

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
333
#10
17.30.2
11.711.9
Auto3.3
Teleop5.8
End8.2
red by 4.1
7030
#31
13.21.1
12.211.0
Auto5.2
Teleop5.8
End2.3
Second
16.90.1
19.119.2
Auto2.7
Teleop3.1
End11.2
red by 5.8
358
#22
11.11.1
8.37.2
Auto3.5
Teleop5.5
End2.1
Third
6402
#17
15.90.2
11.711.9
Auto2.7
Teleop2.1
End11.0
red by 4.8
5016
#30
11.01.1
10.69.5
Auto2.9
Teleop4.6
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed25%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
78%Hangar oddsEarned14%Hangar oddsMissed