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Red46
682315.3
260114.6
260719.2
Blue93
149332.8
261426.0
548428.0
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4790204060801001201404693

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2607
#16
19.20.5
20.820.3
Auto4.7
Teleop9.2
End5.3
blue by 13.6
32.81.3
29.631.0
Auto10.0
Teleop16.0
End6.7
Second
15.30.8
15.815.1
Auto5.4
Teleop6.7
End3.2
blue by 12.7
28.00.9
25.926.8
Auto4.9
Teleop11.5
End11.6
Third
2601
#28
14.60.8
13.312.6
Auto3.6
Teleop5.3
End5.7
blue by 11.4
26.01.4
23.725.1
Auto6.7
Teleop14.1
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsEarned86%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed84%Hangar oddsEarned