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Red59
395011.6
501611.0
149332.8
Blue68
279125.6
682315.3
167623.2
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56692040801005968

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.80.1
31.031.0
Auto10.0
Teleop16.0
End6.7
red by 7.2
2791
#13
25.60.5
25.025.5
Auto7.6
Teleop13.8
End4.2
Second
3950
#27
11.60.1
13.813.9
Auto4.2
Teleop3.6
End3.8
blue by 11.6
23.20.3
22.923.2
Auto5.8
Teleop13.0
End4.5
Third
5016
#30
11.00.1
9.59.6
Auto2.9
Teleop4.6
End3.6
blue by 4.3
15.30.5
15.115.5
Auto5.4
Teleop6.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
64%Cargo oddsMissed84%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
37%Hangar oddsEarned36%Hangar oddsMissed