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Red56
140524.6
493021.2
151816.9
Blue37
412113.5
716519.3
26326.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51350204060801005637

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.60.1
17.517.4
Auto7.5
Teleop11.9
End5.1
red by 5.2
7165
#28
19.30.1
16.416.2
Auto4.3
Teleop6.8
End8.2
Second
4930
#21
21.20.1
15.515.4
Auto4.6
Teleop9.5
End7.1
red by 7.7
4121
#33
13.50.2
9.99.7
Auto2.1
Teleop5.5
End5.9
Third
1518
#15
16.90.1
12.612.5
Auto4.6
Teleop5.0
End7.2
red by 10.4
2632
#54
6.50.2
8.78.5
Auto3.0
Teleop1.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
24%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed46%Hangar oddsMissed