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Red41
10386.4
4817.9
716519.3
Blue61
19117.2
63553.7
350418.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484101001502002503004161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7165
#28
19.30.2
16.216.0
Auto4.3
Teleop6.8
End8.2
red by 0.6
3504
#19
18.70.7
17.418.1
Auto5.3
Teleop8.2
End5.2
Second
48
#34
17.90.2
18.017.8
Auto6.4
Teleop8.3
End3.2
red by 0.7
191
#5
17.20.6
12.513.2
Auto4.2
Teleop8.5
End4.4
Third
1038
#56
6.40.3
9.69.3
Auto1.2
Teleop1.3
End3.9
red by 2.7
6355
#59
3.71.1
9.410.5
Auto0.5
Teleop3.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed32%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
48%Hangar oddsEarned27%Hangar oddsMissed