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Red20
63553.7
377711.2
217216.9
Blue33
19117.2
803714.7
78859.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323410204050602033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2172
#25
16.90.8
12.411.5
Auto5.4
Teleop1.9
End9.6
blue by 0.3
191
#5
17.20.2
13.213.4
Auto4.2
Teleop8.5
End4.4
Second
3777
#22
11.21.4
9.48.0
Auto3.0
Teleop3.9
End4.3
blue by 3.5
8037
#26
14.70.4
10.811.2
Auto4.4
Teleop7.3
End3.0
Third
6355
#59
3.71.4
10.59.1
Auto0.5
Teleop3.1
End0.1
blue by 5.5
7885
#52
9.20.4
5.86.2
Auto3.1
Teleop5.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed21%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsMissed26%Hangar oddsMissed