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Red50
402831.1
101410.1
716519.3
Blue85
150725.5
348410.0
217216.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44472060805085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.10.9
18.018.9
Auto10.9
Teleop9.4
End10.8
red by 5.6
1507
#12
25.51.4
24.726.1
Auto9.2
Teleop11.8
End4.5
Second
7165
#28
19.30.6
16.016.6
Auto4.3
Teleop6.8
End8.2
red by 2.4
2172
#25
16.91.4
11.512.9
Auto5.4
Teleop1.9
End9.6
Third
1014
#51
10.10.9
7.48.4
Auto4.8
Teleop2.5
End2.8
red by 0.1
3484
#50
10.02.3
7.910.2
Auto4.1
Teleop5.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
56%Hangar oddsEarned33%Hangar oddsEarned