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Red70
618121.0
581115.2
317324.3
Blue18
63553.7
87134.9
696413.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45270204060801007018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3173
#11
24.32.0
15.317.2
Auto5.5
Teleop8.5
End10.3
red by 10.6
6964
#48
13.61.1
11.510.5
Auto4.3
Teleop6.0
End3.4
Second
6181
#23
21.03.3
12.716.0
Auto5.6
Teleop5.9
End9.6
red by 16.1
8713
#53
4.91.1
7.16.0
Auto3.2
Teleop2.4
End-0.6
Third
5811
#30
15.23.3
12.115.4
Auto4.8
Teleop6.6
End3.9
red by 11.6
6355
#59
3.71.1
9.18.0
Auto0.5
Teleop3.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
50%Hangar oddsEarned21%Hangar oddsMissed