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Red38
414517.6
350418.7
239917.8
Blue44
131719.1
140524.6
82229.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4643102030506070803844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3504
#19
18.70.6
18.117.5
Auto5.3
Teleop8.2
End5.2
blue by 5.9
24.60.2
17.617.8
Auto7.5
Teleop11.9
End5.1
Second
2399
#24
17.81.0
8.17.1
Auto6.0
Teleop6.5
End5.4
blue by 1.3
19.10.4
12.412.7
Auto3.6
Teleop4.6
End10.9
Third
4145
#45
17.60.6
16.816.2
Auto3.4
Teleop6.1
End8.1
red by 8.2
8222
#36
9.40.4
10.811.1
Auto2.7
Teleop2.3
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
26%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
33%Hangar oddsMissed26%Hangar oddsEarned