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Red69
150725.5
37923.8
201014.1
Blue72
377711.2
574029.1
493021.2
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6552204060801001206972

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1507
#12
25.50.6
26.126.7
Auto9.2
Teleop11.8
End4.5
blue by 3.5
5740
#20
29.11.5
27.028.4
Auto6.5
Teleop11.2
End11.3
Second
379
#6
23.80.6
20.621.2
Auto6.0
Teleop7.1
End10.7
red by 2.6
4930
#21
21.21.5
15.516.9
Auto4.6
Teleop9.5
End7.1
Third
2010
#16
14.11.0
13.014.0
Auto3.3
Teleop8.2
End2.5
red by 2.8
3777
#22
11.22.4
7.710.1
Auto3.0
Teleop3.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
39%Cargo oddsEarned18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
67%Hangar oddsEarned18%Hangar oddsEarned