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Red51
26326.5
155920.6
350418.7
Blue20
81453.7
78859.2
87189.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions542204060805120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1559
#14
20.60.3
20.220.5
Auto4.2
Teleop6.8
End9.6
red by 10.7
8718
#49
9.90.5
11.811.3
Auto1.4
Teleop4.8
End3.6
Second
3504
#19
18.70.3
17.517.8
Auto5.3
Teleop8.2
End5.2
red by 9.5
7885
#52
9.20.5
6.86.3
Auto3.1
Teleop5.6
End0.5
Third
2632
#54
6.50.5
8.69.1
Auto3.0
Teleop1.5
End2.0
red by 2.7
8145
#58
3.70.5
6.15.6
Auto1.6
Teleop1.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
50%Hangar oddsEarned17%Hangar oddsMissed