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Red70
131719.1
67713.5
300327.6
Blue64
10386.4
618121.0
260321.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484401001502007064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.61.7
22.223.9
Auto6.0
Teleop10.6
End11.0
red by 6.1
21.50.9
16.317.2
Auto5.4
Teleop7.6
End8.6
Second
19.12.8
12.715.6
Auto3.6
Teleop4.6
End10.9
blue by 1.9
6181
#23
21.01.6
16.017.6
Auto5.6
Teleop5.9
End9.6
Third
677
#37
13.52.8
9.512.3
Auto3.9
Teleop6.8
End2.8
red by 7.1
1038
#56
6.41.6
9.611.2
Auto1.2
Teleop1.3
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
62%Hangar oddsEarned38%Hangar oddsEarned