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Red70
541311.0
301538.7
201014.1
Blue51
37816.9
696413.6
414517.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6541020801001207051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.70.5
33.934.4
Auto13.1
Teleop13.4
End12.1
red by 21.1
4145
#45
17.60.7
16.417.1
Auto3.4
Teleop6.1
End8.1
Second
2010
#16
14.10.9
8.99.7
Auto3.3
Teleop8.2
End2.5
blue by 2.8
378
#41
16.90.7
14.415.1
Auto7.2
Teleop6.4
End3.2
Third
5413
#46
11.00.9
15.416.3
Auto2.9
Teleop6.6
End1.5
blue by 2.7
6964
#48
13.61.1
10.611.7
Auto4.3
Teleop6.0
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
62%Cargo oddsEarned19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
46%Hangar oddsEarned17%Hangar oddsEarned