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Red59
151816.9
317324.3
67713.5
Blue22
377711.2
222818.5
155920.6
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50562040801005922

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3173
#11
24.30.8
20.621.4
Auto5.5
Teleop8.5
End10.3
red by 3.7
1559
#14
20.62.2
19.517.3
Auto4.2
Teleop6.8
End9.6
Second
1518
#15
16.90.8
16.417.2
Auto4.6
Teleop5.0
End7.2
blue by 1.7
2228
#39
18.52.2
21.319.1
Auto7.5
Teleop7.3
End3.7
Third
677
#37
13.51.3
10.611.9
Auto3.9
Teleop6.8
End2.8
red by 2.3
3777
#22
11.23.7
10.87.1
Auto3.0
Teleop3.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed23%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
77%Hangar oddsEarned52%Hangar oddsMissed