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Red45
101410.1
461114.7
411912.6
Blue35
803714.7
81453.7
4817.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4035102030506070804535

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4611
#31
14.70.9
16.317.2
Auto3.8
Teleop4.4
End6.5
blue by 3.2
48
#34
17.90.1
17.217.3
Auto6.4
Teleop8.3
End3.2
Second
4119
#38
12.60.9
10.711.6
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End2.6
blue by 2.1
8037
#26
14.70.1
12.112.2
Auto4.4
Teleop7.3
End3.0
Third
1014
#51
10.10.9
10.010.9
Auto4.8
Teleop2.5
End2.8
red by 6.4
8145
#58
3.70.1
4.64.7
Auto1.6
Teleop1.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsEarned16%Hangar oddsMissed