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Red58
82229.4
301538.7
408511.4
Blue60
377711.2
461114.7
19117.2
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions733902060801005860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.70.4
40.440.0
Auto13.1
Teleop13.4
End12.1
red by 21.5
191
#5
17.20.7
16.317.0
Auto4.2
Teleop8.5
End4.4
Second
4085
#47
11.40.4
12.211.8
Auto5.2
Teleop4.1
End2.1
blue by 3.3
4611
#31
14.71.1
15.516.6
Auto3.8
Teleop4.4
End6.5
Third
8222
#36
9.40.6
11.310.7
Auto2.7
Teleop2.3
End4.4
blue by 1.8
3777
#22
11.21.1
9.410.6
Auto3.0
Teleop3.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
70%Cargo oddsMissed25%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
64%Hangar oddsEarned34%Hangar oddsEarned