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Red14
67713.5
408511.4
78859.2
Blue39
12815.6
319316.9
81405.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3738152025303540451439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
677
#37
13.52.7
10.07.2
Auto3.9
Teleop6.8
End2.8
blue by 3.4
3193
#18
16.90.2
16.917.1
Auto4.1
Teleop4.7
End8.1
Second
4085
#47
11.41.8
16.014.2
Auto5.2
Teleop4.1
End2.1
blue by 4.1
128
#29
15.60.4
10.610.9
Auto6.0
Teleop3.8
End5.7
Third
7885
#52
9.22.7
8.55.8
Auto3.1
Teleop5.6
End0.5
red by 4.0
8140
#55
5.23.3
5.28.5
Auto1.0
Teleop1.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
25%Cargo oddsMissed22%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed51%Hangar oddsEarned