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Red30
588917.4
379222.2
74642.7
Blue41
18069.1
429317.3
361618.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293702060801003041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3792
#17
22.20.2
10.210.4
Auto6.8
Teleop5.2
End10.1
red by 4.0
3616
#14
18.30.1
11.111.0
Auto5.1
Teleop6.4
End6.8
Second
5889
#28
17.40.2
10.010.2
Auto5.6
Teleop12.3
End-0.5
red by 0.1
4293
#15
17.30.1
11.911.8
Auto4.2
Teleop5.3
End7.8
Third
7464
#42
2.70.2
8.38.4
Auto0.4
Teleop1.1
End1.2
blue by 6.4
1806
#22
9.10.1
10.810.7
Auto1.9
Teleop5.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsEarned