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Red44
425624.1
366010.0
316013.8
Blue26
680912.6
27238.3
871111.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382802060804426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.10.6
12.913.5
Auto6.4
Teleop6.6
End11.2
red by 11.6
6809
#24
12.60.6
8.88.2
Auto5.0
Teleop4.5
End3.1
Second
3160
#19
13.80.6
12.713.3
Auto4.0
Teleop5.4
End4.4
red by 2.6
8711
#26
11.211.6
19.17.5
Auto2.6
Teleop2.3
End6.4
Third
3660
#20
10.00.6
9.09.6
Auto3.7
Teleop4.2
End2.1
red by 1.7
2723
#36
8.30.6
10.610.0
Auto2.6
Teleop2.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsMissed