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Red14
32847.7
393117.7
31526.0
Blue57
379222.2
602621.8
24618.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3428010204050601457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3931
#18
17.71.9
11.910.0
Auto3.4
Teleop11.1
End3.2
blue by 4.5
3792
#17
22.23.3
10.413.7
Auto6.8
Teleop5.2
End10.1
Second
3284
#40
7.71.9
13.011.1
Auto3.0
Teleop3.5
End1.2
blue by 14.0
21.83.3
9.813.1
Auto4.3
Teleop10.4
End7.1
Third
3152
#33
6.01.9
6.24.3
Auto2.4
Teleop2.5
End1.1
blue by 2.4
2461
#32
8.43.3
7.210.5
Auto2.7
Teleop2.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed19%Hangar oddsEarned