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Red27
871111.2
316013.8
31526.0
Blue52
239510.1
32847.7
429317.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253801020305060702752

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3160
#19
13.80.2
13.313.5
Auto4.0
Teleop5.4
End4.4
blue by 3.5
4293
#15
17.31.1
11.812.9
Auto4.2
Teleop5.3
End7.8
Second
8711
#26
11.20.2
7.57.7
Auto2.6
Teleop2.3
End6.4
red by 1.1
2395
#38
10.11.1
11.112.2
Auto3.9
Teleop2.1
End4.1
Third
3152
#33
6.00.2
4.34.5
Auto2.4
Teleop2.5
End1.1
blue by 1.7
3284
#40
7.71.1
11.112.2
Auto3.0
Teleop3.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed33%Hangar oddsEarned