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Red22
18069.1
12097.8
216521.9
Blue75
299618.3
580121.2
161939.3
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33720204060801001202275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.91.6
15.714.2
Auto6.0
Teleop9.9
End6.0
blue by 17.4
39.31.4
29.330.7
Auto9.7
Teleop17.7
End11.9
Second
1806
#22
9.11.6
10.89.2
Auto1.9
Teleop5.1
End2.1
blue by 12.1
21.21.4
17.618.9
Auto4.2
Teleop12.9
End4.1
Third
1209
#39
7.81.6
9.88.2
Auto3.6
Teleop3.0
End1.2
blue by 10.5
18.31.4
15.917.2
Auto3.5
Teleop9.5
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed39%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
50%Hangar oddsMissed46%Hangar oddsEarned