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Red40
156120.3
425624.1
452310.6
Blue26
12097.8
32847.7
64644.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343501020304050604026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.10.8
12.112.9
Auto6.4
Teleop6.6
End11.2
red by 16.3
1209
#39
7.81.5
8.57.0
Auto3.6
Teleop3.0
End1.2
Second
1561
#13
20.30.8
10.010.8
Auto6.3
Teleop9.2
End4.8
red by 12.6
3284
#40
7.71.5
14.513.0
Auto3.0
Teleop3.5
End1.2
Third
4523
#31
10.60.8
10.411.3
Auto4.2
Teleop2.6
End3.7
red by 5.8
6464
#37
4.81.5
8.87.2
Auto2.2
Teleop-0.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsMissed