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Red65
602621.8
237317.3
452232.1
Blue55
555019.7
216521.9
580121.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5446203040506070806555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.11.7
20.222.0
Auto6.9
Teleop12.7
End12.5
red by 10.2
21.91.2
14.215.3
Auto6.0
Teleop9.9
End6.0
Second
21.81.7
17.919.6
Auto4.3
Teleop10.4
End7.1
red by 0.5
21.21.2
18.920.1
Auto4.2
Teleop12.9
End4.1
Third
2373
#12
17.31.7
11.313.0
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End10.2
blue by 2.4
5550
#10
19.71.2
11.212.4
Auto4.1
Teleop7.9
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsEarned20%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
63%Hangar oddsEarned29%Hangar oddsEarned