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Red34
366010.0
239510.1
234116.2
Blue39
64644.8
55787.7
379222.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323401020405060703439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2341
#29
16.20.5
13.113.6
Auto5.4
Teleop3.9
End6.9
blue by 6.1
3792
#17
22.20.4
15.816.2
Auto6.8
Teleop5.2
End10.1
Second
2395
#38
10.10.5
10.811.3
Auto3.9
Teleop2.1
End4.1
red by 2.4
5578
#23
7.70.4
8.69.0
Auto2.4
Teleop2.3
End2.9
Third
3660
#20
10.00.5
5.96.4
Auto3.7
Teleop4.2
End2.1
red by 5.2
6464
#37
4.80.4
7.07.4
Auto2.2
Teleop-0.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsMissed