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Red10
18069.1
23599.2
74642.7
Blue20
64644.8
393117.7
239510.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2338010305060701020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2359
#43
9.22.0
8.86.8
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End0.1
blue by 8.5
3931
#18
17.72.0
15.013.0
Auto3.4
Teleop11.1
End3.2
Second
1806
#22
9.12.0
10.28.2
Auto1.9
Teleop5.1
End2.1
blue by 1.0
2395
#38
10.12.0
11.39.3
Auto3.9
Teleop2.1
End4.1
Third
7464
#42
2.72.0
4.82.8
Auto0.4
Teleop1.1
End1.2
blue by 2.1
6464
#37
4.82.0
7.45.4
Auto2.2
Teleop-0.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsMissed16%Hangar oddsMissed