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Red37
429317.3
24618.4
452310.6
Blue39
580121.2
12097.8
366010.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4236102030506070803739

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4293
#15
17.31.5
16.915.3
Auto4.2
Teleop5.3
End7.8
blue by 3.9
21.20.5
19.820.3
Auto4.2
Teleop12.9
End4.1
Second
4523
#31
10.61.5
12.410.8
Auto4.2
Teleop2.6
End3.7
red by 0.6
3660
#20
10.00.5
6.46.9
Auto3.7
Teleop4.2
End2.1
Third
2461
#32
8.41.5
9.68.1
Auto2.7
Teleop2.9
End2.8
red by 0.6
1209
#39
7.80.5
8.38.8
Auto3.6
Teleop3.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed23%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
64%Hangar oddsMissed15%Hangar oddsMissed