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Red40
324710.6
593015.3
237317.3
Blue36
31526.0
239510.1
361618.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463510203040506070804036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2373
#12
17.30.2
14.914.7
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End10.2
blue by 1.0
3616
#14
18.30.2
18.518.7
Auto5.1
Teleop6.4
End6.8
Second
5930
#30
15.30.2
15.415.2
Auto5.5
Teleop8.3
End1.5
red by 5.2
2395
#38
10.10.2
9.39.5
Auto3.9
Teleop2.1
End4.1
Third
3247
#25
10.60.2
11.711.5
Auto3.8
Teleop4.3
End2.5
red by 4.6
3152
#33
6.00.2
6.26.4
Auto2.4
Teleop2.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
30%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
37%Hangar oddsMissed26%Hangar oddsMissed