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Red60
156120.3
299618.3
361618.3
Blue33
429317.3
110820.8
234116.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3635010203040506070806033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1561
#13
20.32.9
10.813.7
Auto6.3
Teleop9.2
End4.8
blue by 0.5
1108
#11
20.80.0
11.111.1
Auto7.2
Teleop9.2
End4.4
Second
18.32.9
12.115.0
Auto3.5
Teleop9.5
End5.4
red by 1.0
4293
#15
17.30.0
11.811.8
Auto4.2
Teleop5.3
End7.8
Third
3616
#14
18.32.9
11.013.9
Auto5.1
Teleop6.4
End6.8
red by 2.1
2341
#29
16.20.0
10.210.2
Auto5.4
Teleop3.9
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsEarned28%Hangar oddsMissed