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Red72
449925.9
425624.1
324710.6
Blue49
237317.3
602621.8
593015.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65583040507080901001107249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.90.2
25.926.1
Auto6.7
Teleop16.1
End3.1
red by 4.2
21.80.2
22.222.0
Auto4.3
Teleop10.4
End7.1
Second
24.10.2
24.124.3
Auto6.4
Teleop6.6
End11.2
red by 6.8
2373
#12
17.30.2
17.717.5
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End10.2
Third
3247
#25
10.60.2
10.310.5
Auto3.8
Teleop4.3
End2.5
blue by 4.7
5930
#30
15.30.2
15.715.6
Auto5.5
Teleop8.3
End1.5